tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-78948698287604746192024-03-12T21:31:36.072-04:00Bryan's look at the WeatherThe how's and why's of Boston's Weather.Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.comBlogger233125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-19340921412505761582015-02-12T10:07:00.002-05:002015-02-12T10:26:34.773-05:00Why the snow in Boston is Not Climate Change Enhanced Snow - <span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">A recent article is making headway across social media about all the snow in Boston - simply saying "Climate Change is to blame". Nothing infuriates me more than blanket statements that something other than the established weather pattern caused a weather event or that when a weather event has happened before in the past it has to now be extreme, but what infuriates me even more is when the information is a blatant lie or severe misuse of information to garner an attempt to make a statement. That is what is happening here.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">First some basic facts about the past few weeks in Boston. (From the NWS)</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">1. The overall temperature since January 26 (The first Blizzard) have been well below normal. In fact roughly 10F below normal.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">2. The liquid (melted) equivalent of precipitation that has fallen in Boston since Jan 26 is around 3.64"</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><a href="http://hudsonvalleyweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/snow-ratio-chart.png" target="_blank">Meteorologists often use a snow ratio to predict snowfall</a>. Commonly this ratio is 1:10 - for every 1 inch of liquid precipitation approximately, 10 inches of snow will fall. This ratio is great for when the air temperature is around 30F. If so, we would have seen snowfall in Boston be 36.4" since January 26.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">This ratio increases though as temperature decreases. So if the temperature of the air is around 20F, which it has been in most of our snow cases this ratio increases to 1:20. Now with this basic science and math we would get 72.8" of snow. If you have noticed, the snow is lighter and fluffier. Now we can agree that the temperature has not been constantly 20F, but it has been below the normal of 38/24F.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><b>So right here, we have basically proven that because the air temperature in Boston has on average been 10F below normal our snowfall rate has increased to almost 2x what should be expected. </b>Most climate change articles do not point this out. </span><br />
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><img alt="ScreenHunter_7069 Feb. 11 11.02" src="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2015/02/screenhunter_7069-feb-11-11-02.gif?w=640" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" /></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The colder the air temperature is in Boston the more snow will fall </td></tr>
</tbody></table>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Next.. in a recent article, a statement "</span><span style="background-color: white;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 32px;">ocean temperatures off the East Coast are exceptionally warm, some 21 degrees warmer than normal in some areas" . This comes directly from Penn State Climate scientist, Michael Mann. This statement was just gasoline being poured on any climate change argument, and was picked up by so many other climate change scientists who made simple statements to grab attention. But the fact is, Dr. Mann's (11C heat) <a href="https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/565195988646649858" target="_blank">was a pixel of warmth detected in the ever flowing and changing Gulf Stream placed on a 30 year normal smoothed map of the Gulf Stream a</a>nd picked to be a major heat burst. Anyone can take a piece or fragment of data and manipulate it to fit your theory. In fact, many meteorologists have scrutinized this number and can only come up with a 5C temperature anomaly in the ocean at the given point. </span></span></span><br />
<span style="background-color: white;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 32px;">(It must be pointed out that unlike a hurricane, the eye or center relies heavily on the surface water temperature directly under it for strength - a winter storm relies on temperature differences across thousands of miles both on land and sea)</span></span></span><br />
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<span style="background-color: white;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 32px;">So lets look at this a bit closer. First with an analogy.</span></span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;"><span style="line-height: 32px;">Everyday, many commute into Boston - lets say its by car down I93. You leave your house, you get on the side road, you stop at a stop sign or red light, traffic is flowing you reach 65mph. You hit stop and go traffic until you get into the city. You park. If you were to average out your entire commute you may come up with an average (normal)of 30mph. Is this to say that you constantly drove 30mph. Absolutely not. You went 65mph at one point, you went 5mph at one point well above and below your average. So I cannot say to you, you drove 35mph above average the entire time if I somehow pinpointed your speed at 65mph on a map. </span></span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;"><span style="line-height: 32px;">The same applies to climate and in the Gulf Stream. Eddies in the Gulf Stream are constantly moving, some are warm, some are cold. When you place these temperature differences on an averaged map, you will get an anomaly for certain. Tomorrow, that 21F above normal eddy could be 10F colder than average on that spot, because the Gulf Stream is always moving. </span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;"><span style="line-height: 32px;"><br /></span></span></span>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;"><span style="line-height: 32px;">Next, we need to be level headed about our science as well. The ocean temperature in Boston Harbor is around 34F right now. Off the coast, about 43F. If what was published was a true statement, then Boston Harbor should be 55F and off the coast should be 64F right now in temperature. We would be lucky to even see this in the heat of summer for our latitude. BUT since our temperature readings indicate the current temps of 34 and 43, Dr. Manns assertion that the temperatures are 21 degrees above normal mean that Boston Harbor water temperature in Febuary is 13F and off the coast 22F. Ocean water freezes at around 27F. Simply his statement cannot be held up to phyisics. </span></span></span><br />
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<img alt="ScreenHunter_7074 Feb. 11 22.30" src="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2015/02/screenhunter_7074-feb-11-22-30.gif?w=640&h=388" /><br />
<img alt="ScreenHunter_7073 Feb. 11 22.28" src="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2015/02/screenhunter_7073-feb-11-22-28.gif?w=640" /><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;"><span style="line-height: 32px;">Where I will concede is that all temperature data over the Atlantic Ocean is running about 2F above normal. <a href="http://patriotpost.us/opinion/32761" target="_blank">The oceans go through cylces of warm and cold and this warm cycle is expected to last another few years.</a> So this leads to the question of moisture in the atmosphere. The articles specifically stated that a warmer ocean will increase moisture in the atmosphere, increasing the amount of precipitable water to fall out, therefore increasing snowfall rates. Or - because the air is SO much colder and the water is so much warmer the evaporation rate is much greater and you will get greater amounts of snow to fall. I have yet to see or hear that precipitation is well above normal. Single storms in any season can produce over 1 inch of rainfall. So you need to ask yourself. If it rained on Sunday (8th) 0.37" and Monday (9th) 0.88" (which is the liquid equiv of what fell) would you be screaming climate change caused this to happen? </span></span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;"><span style="line-height: 32px;">Boston is a coastal weather community, influenced by the ocean, by the continental airmasses from the Arctic, and by plumes of moisture from the tropics and by wind blowing in off of the ocean.</span></span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;"><span style="line-height: 32px;">This year it was Bostons turn for snow. Just as in 2010 it was Washington DC, Remember that? Or how about the Blizzard of 78, or think about the snows that fell to depths of 24"</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;"><span style="line-height: 32px;">inches in the south in 1973. Or Wilmington, NC in 1989. Every area of the country sees a winter weather outbreak at some point. But why not NYC, just 180 miles away, or even Western Massachusetts, they have been immune to heavy snows this year. Does Climate Change pick a city and say, lets target Buffalo and Boston this year, but leave NYC alone?</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;"><span style="line-height: 32px;"><br /></span></span></span>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;"><span style="line-height: 32px;">Is climate change real, yes it is. Climate change is something that has been happening for millennia. We have had ice ages, we have had warming spells. There are cycles in the earth and in space that we have yet to uncover of fully understand, but if we look back at our own human history here in New England to 1630. We can find events that are similar, or even much worse than what are experiencing now. This is why I doubt the cries of the climate change activist. Not because I don't care about the planet or environment, it is because this has happened before and will happen again. </span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;"><span style="line-height: 32px;"><br /></span></span></span>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;"><span style="line-height: 32px;">I must also inform you the reader, that I am not getting paid to write to article. However, many of the climate scientists writing these scare terms are getting $$$ of funding to support them and make the relevant. If my livelihood and professional occupation were solely based on grants and funding that expected me to prove a point, I would definitely make the data say what I needed it to say. Or just tweet "Climate change responsible for Boston snow - 11C above normal water to blame". Today, that gives you an edge and makes you relevant to be put into national publications, invited onto talk shows in major markets and when my employer sees this or a big grant giving foundation sees this, I get more money. I am not a die hard right wing conservative either. My own professional research has allowed me to question what is being told.</span></span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;"><span style="line-height: 32px;">I hope this writing gives you a sense of reality of the overall scheme of what has been happening weatherwise in Boston. You may choose to not accept it, or your political affiliation may place you against it. That is fine with me. I offer you my opinion based on the facts presented. </span></span></span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-17493211358024021422013-04-02T21:42:00.002-04:002013-04-02T21:46:03.061-04:004/2/13 Here comes Spring!!You asked for it! You wanted it Boston and New England! A major pattern shift will finally kick the cold air out of the northeast and bring temps back into the 50s by later this week.<br />
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Next week, we could be approaching the 70s by Tuesday and perhaps some areas touching 80 by the end of the week. Just a trend, but Spring looks to have sprung! It will be getting a tad bit humid too.<br />
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Of note: A cool down comes for mid April, but nothing as cold as it has been!<br />
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<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-XljeBsjNM54/UVuI-ZRJinI/AAAAAAAAHg4/q3A_eX9bVtY/s1600/Meteogram+Generator+-+Mozilla+Firefox+422013+93749+PM.bmp.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="266" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-XljeBsjNM54/UVuI-ZRJinI/AAAAAAAAHg4/q3A_eX9bVtY/s640/Meteogram+Generator+-+Mozilla+Firefox+422013+93749+PM.bmp.jpg" width="640" /></a></div>
<br />Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-79339268414977707952013-02-08T08:50:00.002-05:002013-02-08T08:50:59.317-05:002/8/12 The Blizzard of 2013 Update 1<span style="font-family: Verdana, sans-serif;">Welcome back to the WxBear Blog. </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Verdana, sans-serif;">With a storm such as this, when the extreme is about to happen, sometimes it is easier to just say, PREPARE for the worst.</span><br />
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<a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-MjmTTtUXwSc/URT6SlZv66I/AAAAAAAAHc4/zHOo4jXoo88/s1600/405702_404676142960096_897018637_n.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="480" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-MjmTTtUXwSc/URT6SlZv66I/AAAAAAAAHc4/zHOo4jXoo88/s640/405702_404676142960096_897018637_n.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: Verdana, sans-serif;">This image above from the NWS - Boston is very well done and in line with what I would come up with on my own.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Verdana, sans-serif;">Here is what you need to take away if you live in Boston.</span><br />
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<ul>
<li><span style="font-family: Verdana, sans-serif;">Snowfall - 20-28" of snow. Locally higher amounts, less just at the coast</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: Verdana, sans-serif;">Wind - Getting up to 30-45 mph, much higher near 75 Cape and Nantucket</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: Verdana, sans-serif;">Coastal Flooding - 2-4 foot storm surge. Overwash 9pm & 10 AM likely </span></li>
</ul>
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<span style="font-family: Verdana, sans-serif;">If you want a more detailed snow map, here is one.</span><br />
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<a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-M2_05YwlUGI/URUCo-zaClI/AAAAAAAAHek/TpmidhPkEmU/s1600/BCknH1MCYAEQwN9.png+large.png.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="400" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-M2_05YwlUGI/URUCo-zaClI/AAAAAAAAHek/TpmidhPkEmU/s400/BCknH1MCYAEQwN9.png+large.png.jpg" width="41" /></a><a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-yeigMLxkbh0/URUB4h8pOsI/AAAAAAAAHeY/m1d7cnHW118/s1600/Program+Manager+282013+84344+AM.bmp.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-yeigMLxkbh0/URUB4h8pOsI/AAAAAAAAHeY/m1d7cnHW118/s640/Program+Manager+282013+84344+AM.bmp.jpg" width="424" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: Verdana, sans-serif;">Map showing the very strong storm, with a calm center, Nantucket, may go calm. This is the sign of a very strong intense storm. The dark colors are wind.</span><br />
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<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-Ksqs0j6ktGw/URUAVsIaM0I/AAAAAAAAHeI/TuqedPqr1_Q/s1600/BCj4EzSCYAAh_qe.png+large.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="480" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-Ksqs0j6ktGw/URUAVsIaM0I/AAAAAAAAHeI/TuqedPqr1_Q/s640/BCj4EzSCYAAh_qe.png+large.png" width="640" /></a></div>
<span style="font-family: Verdana, sans-serif;"> </span> Winds around the center of the storm rotate counter clockwise along the lines of equal pressure. Showing a very strong East Northeast wind.Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-37189648607551733102012-11-03T11:07:00.000-04:002012-11-03T11:07:13.901-04:0011/3/12 Potential Severe Nor'Easter to impact Sandy areasA significant Nor'easter is shaping up for later mid week.<br />
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Right now it is too early to say the direct impacts, here are some details.<br />
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<ul>
<li>Significant Snow in New England</li>
<li>Light Snow in Boston, NYC</li>
<li>Coastal Flooding possible</li>
<li>Winds - Gale to Storm force possible (30-60mph)</li>
</ul>
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-SI1mdY3LCvk/UJUwyFbuqoI/AAAAAAAAHbA/0LxfQZ2E6gU/s1600/11_3_pressure.png.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="640" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-SI1mdY3LCvk/UJUwyFbuqoI/AAAAAAAAHbA/0LxfQZ2E6gU/s640/11_3_pressure.png.jpg" width="626" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The weather map for 7 PM Wednesday showing a strong storm south of Cape Cod. Colors on this map indicate wind speed. A strong North East wind will impact New England with high gusts and strong waves prompting some coastal flooding.</td></tr>
</tbody></table>
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<b>SNOWFALL</b><br />
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<a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-CiYFHvWJ2Q0/UJUyAmYpKJI/AAAAAAAAHbI/9yFbEWp8uTs/s1600/11_3_snow.png.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-CiYFHvWJ2Q0/UJUyAmYpKJI/AAAAAAAAHbI/9yFbEWp8uTs/s640/11_3_snow.png.jpg" width="554" /></a></div>
The first significant snow will fall across the higher terrain of New England with over a foot possible in the Berkshires. <br />
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I would not yet be confident in an exact forecast, but take with this the following:<br />
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<ul>
<li>Purple - general coating to 3"</li>
<li>Blues - 3-6"</li>
<li>Oranges - 6-12"</li>
<li>Deep red - Over a foot"</li>
</ul>
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<b>Also,</b> Sunday night will feature a widespread freeze across ALL the Boston area, Expect any remaining outside plants to freeze and if you have yet to do so, prepare for winter now.Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-72543714082187623182012-10-26T13:33:00.000-04:002012-10-26T13:33:47.908-04:0010/26/12 Please take serious read about SandyI know you want to know where Sandy is going and what will happen for you?<br />
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There are 2 main scenarios as to where Sandy is going to go.<br />
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2. Sandy makes a very hard left toward the NJ, Delmarva coast. ( discussed later)<br />
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1. Sandy still turns left, but gets a bit further north and tracks WEST along the Southern<br />
New England coast.<br />
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Lets take a look at # 1. (for my MA friends)<br />
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This idea scares me so much. Most everyone reading this will not even be able to comprehend what could happen in this type of situation. <br />
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<a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-OGihFzJRMOQ/UIrAAmivknI/AAAAAAAAHYw/0AJbxKtocco/s1600/10_26_1_gfs.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="388" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-OGihFzJRMOQ/UIrAAmivknI/AAAAAAAAHYw/0AJbxKtocco/s400/10_26_1_gfs.jpg" width="400" /> </a></div>
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Hurricane Sandy in this scenario runs up the coast but come back west toward the SE Massachusetts coastline by 8 AM Tuesday morning. <br />
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Sandy then either skirts the south coast into Long Island or NYC. What is frightening is that in all of history, most hurricanes are coming at New England from the south and moving Northeast. Sandy will NOT be doing this<br />
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Sandy will be coming at New England from the North West. The worst part of Sandy will be her right front quadrant relative to storm motion. Wind will pile waves<br />
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For Boston tho:<br />
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<ul>
<li>Possibly 6 hours + of hurricane force winds ( Green area)</li>
<li>Coastal Storm Surge 3-6 feet. Cat 1 or 2.</li>
<li>Waves 30+feet </li>
<li>Rainfall </li>
</ul>
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If you are concerned about where you live, check out the maps at this link <a href="http://www.iwr.usace.army.mil/nhp/HESfacts.cfml?pgid=109">http://www.iwr.usace.army.mil/nhp/HESfacts.cfml?pgid=109</a><br />
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each town, or region is mapped out to show you the effects of storm surge in your area. Prepare now!! <br />
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Winds - the scariest situation I am seeing is both storm surge and WIND. One of the computer models is suggesting that 115 mph wind speeds will be just above the surface (indicated in the browns on the map below) Since Sandy will not be in a true tropical state, these winds could mix down to the surface at any given time. Note too the wind field with Sandy it HUGE! Gales extend from South Carolina to Nova Scotia and back to Ohio and Ontario! <br />
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<a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-DtUBJue-bK4/UIrGKqHJy2I/AAAAAAAAHZ4/-NIla0pEYHA/s1600/10_26_MAP.png.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="420" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-DtUBJue-bK4/UIrGKqHJy2I/AAAAAAAAHZ4/-NIla0pEYHA/s640/10_26_MAP.png.jpg" width="640" /></a></div>
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If you want to see what Sandy could be capable of doing, watch this video from 1938.<br />
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<a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7b21g-5YBLs">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7b21g-5YBLs</a><br />
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Follow these tips to prepare yourself.<br />
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<a href="http://www.mass.gov/eopss/agencies/mema/mema-offers-tips-as-hurricane-sandy-approaches.html" target="_blank">http://www.mass.gov/eopss/agencies/mema/mema-offers-tips-as-hurricane-sandy-approaches.html </a><br />
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<br />Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-41354170481485527762012-10-22T09:15:00.003-04:002012-10-22T09:15:45.603-04:0010/22/12 Halloween Storm SandyThere is some hype going on about the potential for a major storm event to take place beginning later this week.<br />
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Right now, an area of low pressure is developing over the Caribbean Sea.<br />
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The low will be slow to move northward and will be in the Bahama's , later this weekend. If named it will be Sandy.<br />
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For New England - the weekend looks sunny and mild.<br />
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Then next Monday - all of the east coast from North Carolina to New England needs to prepare for a late season, prolonged deluge storm. <br />
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Interestingly, the GFS ( a computer model) has a Grace/Perfect Storm set up this morning. With a Nor'easter developing over New England, ingesting the moisture from what could be Sandy.<br />
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Although it looks not as mennacing as what will follow, the models keep this low/Sandy spinning off the New England coast for 6 days. This could bring a lot of wind, erosion and more.<br />
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A more intense situation lies in several other model outputs showing Sandy tracking up the east Coast. The Nor'Easter still develops, but instead, keeps Sandy as a separate entity and merges the two into a powerful storm over the mid Atlantic and North east next Tuesday into the week. <br />
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There are some discussing a similar weather pattern setting up to that of 1954 and the infamous Hurricane Hazel. The initial pattern looks similar, but in this case, Sandy then could get trapped in or just off the Northeast.<br />
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Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-38580823522990899762012-09-03T21:04:00.000-04:002012-09-03T21:04:47.025-04:009/3/12 - Tropical Impacts for New England - Next Week.<span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">1st - Let me apologize for being absent for much of the summer. I have been embarking on a new career path that has taken up a lot of my time. However, I still would like to present important weather information seems appropriate to you, however, at this time a daily forecast cannot be made. When the business aspect takes off, then I hope to be able to do a little bit of both!</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">2nd - The time has come to update you a possible impact from Tropical Cyclone Leslie.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">An interesting meteorological pattern may be setting up, one that we saw in 1989. </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Hurricane Leslie is expected to pass near Bermuda later this week. Typically this track means clear sailing for much of the United States coastline and only a threat to Atlantic Canada.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">However, some changes are occurring that are having some meteorologists rethink the eventual track of Leslie.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">A trough of low pressure that was forecast to develop and pick up and kick Leslie out to sea, will appear to be actually closing off over the Southeast US. This will act, instead of a kicker, as a pull system and pull Leslie closer to the US Coast.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">As was the case with hurricane Hugo in 1989, the track, not seen brought the hurricane in on a direct path into SC. This will not be a Hugo, however, what I am seeing is a storm that could be pulled closer to the US coast as it passes by Bermuda, an unusual pattern. This has been coming to light throughout the day today. </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">The worst case scenario now could be that Leslie tracks very close to the Outer Cape (Cod) on Tuesday of next week as a very strong hurricane. Some models are bringing this to a Category 4 near Bermuda. The track could change of course, and I will keep you posted on any changes! The least worrisome at this moment will still possibly bring some windy conditions to eastern New England, high seas and a possible shower closest to the coast.</span><br />
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<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Model Weather Map for Tuesday, Sept 11, 2012.. Leslie is very close to Cape Cod in a worst case scenario. This may change, but it is something to watch.</td></tr>
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<span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><br /></span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-72397400050453746312012-06-29T08:25:00.001-04:002012-06-29T08:25:48.470-04:006/29/12 Hot weather returnsA heat wave is expected to invade the Boston area this weekend (3 or more days above 90).<br />
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The massive heat that has been building in the Rockies and south will move in today and stay with us until Sunday, when a bit of a cool down back into the 80s returns for the holiday week.<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-ZJxushyJVTs/T-2Xte0VhHI/AAAAAAAAHMg/_-JEDzo3dL0/s1600/629hi.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="360" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-ZJxushyJVTs/T-2Xte0VhHI/AAAAAAAAHMg/_-JEDzo3dL0/s400/629hi.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">It will be coolest along the coastal areas and south facing beaches today. </td></tr>
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<b>For today,</b> Friday, a few scattered showers and thunderstorms will move through during the morning hours, then reform later in the day. Expect mid 90s in most places, except upper 80s at the beaches with upper 70s to lower 80s on the Cape. Dew point levels will be dropping today, so it will not feel as humid today or tonight, but will rise over the weekend. <br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-HVZ-CkJOMfM/T-2a4SuOBQI/AAAAAAAAHMs/pue4IJkNtXc/s1600/629_map.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="355" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-HVZ-CkJOMfM/T-2a4SuOBQI/AAAAAAAAHMs/pue4IJkNtXc/s400/629_map.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Our heat today is being transported in around a very HOT high pressure to the south. The flow for New England will be mostly west though so the extreme heat remains south.</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-mrFzeeyLzFg/T-2ena5qJWI/AAAAAAAAHOQ/dtgeMYysIOw/s1600/5day+copy.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="280" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-mrFzeeyLzFg/T-2ena5qJWI/AAAAAAAAHOQ/dtgeMYysIOw/s400/5day+copy.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Scattered Thunderstorms are possible each day, but no areas of organized rain is expected.</td></tr>
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<br />Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-33081629405978223262012-06-25T08:56:00.001-04:002012-06-25T08:56:14.920-04:006/25/12 Cold then back to summer heat. Rain today!A strong cold front is pushing its way across New England this morning that will bring heavy rains and thunderstorms across the region as the morning progresses.<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-AxP9kgasjGg/T-hXPhranII/AAAAAAAAHJo/B6rISbdSS4Y/s1600/625_rad.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="400" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-AxP9kgasjGg/T-hXPhranII/AAAAAAAAHJo/B6rISbdSS4Y/s400/625_rad.jpg" width="286" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Forecast radar image for 11 AM this morning, with one heavy band of showers and thunderstorms moving through Eastern MA. </td></tr>
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As the front moves through, over an inch of rain could fall from the storms. An area of low pressure will form just off the New England coast and will keep the rain from moving too far offshore and keep the clouds around more much of the coastal areas.<br />
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<b>Tuesday</b> looks to be a very cool and damp day with a few breaks of sun from time to time especially in southern locations.<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-SfEhqm3UPGg/T-hbj6W_4KI/AAAAAAAAHKk/zUmqg15G_GQ/s1600/625_hi.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="360" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-SfEhqm3UPGg/T-hbj6W_4KI/AAAAAAAAHKk/zUmqg15G_GQ/s400/625_hi.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Temperatures on Tuesday will be 10-12 degrees cooler than normal. As the area of low pressure off the coast spins, it will allow for clouds to rotate around it and make for a cloudy day except for the southern parts of New England. </td></tr>
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The cool is short lived once again and heat will return for the weekend.<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-y_RvZEFJTVc/T-hd-etgxSI/AAAAAAAAHKw/33L9cl22UF0/s1600/625_Sat.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="358" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-y_RvZEFJTVc/T-hd-etgxSI/AAAAAAAAHKw/33L9cl22UF0/s400/625_Sat.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Heat will build across the south east and move into New England for the weekend with temperatures getting into the upper 80s and lower 90s. It will once again be short lived as a cold front will push through late Sunday into Monday. Debby will be a slow mover off the FL coast. </td></tr>
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<br />Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-6827479340743714522012-06-19T07:51:00.000-04:002012-06-19T07:51:03.102-04:006/19/12 Get Your A/C's - Summer is coming!!Yes! Summer will arrive tomorrow and the weather will also reflect summertime heat. The cool weather of the past few days will be pushed away as heat and humidity return for a full blast of HOT HOT HOT!!<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-mI6tzUcwxYQ/T-BmcgbZ4oI/AAAAAAAAHIs/J1okKZ6Vn3A/s1600/6219_HOT.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="378" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-mI6tzUcwxYQ/T-BmcgbZ4oI/AAAAAAAAHIs/J1okKZ6Vn3A/s400/6219_HOT.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">How it will feel tomorrow afternoon</td></tr>
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<br />The heat will only last until Friday, as a another shot of cooler air moves in for the weekend.<br />
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However, it will remain extremely humid Wednesday and Thursday night with temperatures only falling into the upper 70s and it will be extremely sticky! If you need an A/C get it today before the stores have a mad rush on them! <br />
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<br />Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-64834070288206290842012-06-12T06:47:00.001-04:002012-06-12T06:47:13.990-04:006/12/12 Heavy Rains for WednesdaySo far, the months of May and June have looked, at least on weather map, like March and April. And vice versa. The map below shows a pattern more typical of Spring than that of entering the summer solstice next week.<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-Pr-YV3W1Rcw/T9cXWSEvBQI/AAAAAAAAHGo/iFr1pXRpHrk/s1600/612_map.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="336" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-Pr-YV3W1Rcw/T9cXWSEvBQI/AAAAAAAAHGo/iFr1pXRpHrk/s400/612_map.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The flow between high pressure over Canada and a Low in the Atlantic means sun, but mild conditions will exist along the east coast for several days. The heat it being pumped into the central Plains. Also very interesting this year, interesting spin ups of tropical type storms may be happening in such a pattern close to the S Coast. The high moves into Atlantic Canada this weekend, keeping New England dry, but cool.</td></tr>
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For Tuesday, a cold front will slowly push toward New England during the day, expect Sun to be replaced with increasing high clouds to all clouds by late afternoon. Rain arrives by 11 PM in the Boston area. Highs in the lower 70s.<br />
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Wednesday morning will be a rough go with heavy rain falling in a line from Maine to Long Island. Up to a half inch of rain could fall. Heavier amounts over Western New England.<br />
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<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-VZfUhA0Ayy0/T9cZZ4Fd2ZI/AAAAAAAAHGw/n281xh2jPBI/s1600/612_rad.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="400" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-VZfUhA0Ayy0/T9cZZ4Fd2ZI/AAAAAAAAHGw/n281xh2jPBI/s400/612_rad.jpg" width="350" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The rain should last for most of the day and taper to showers by afternoon. </td></tr>
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After this front pushes through, it will remain well off shore, except for the southern end of it which may Spin up an area of low pressure and track SOUTH as high pressure dominates the east coast. This is an a-typical high as it is coming in from the North Atlantic spreading down the east coast and not a Bermuda high which typically allows warm air to flow north. <br />
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An onshore flow will keep coastal areas cool an a bit breezy, but dry.<br />
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<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-2uZ9HxuOaP8/T9cc1bisVvI/AAAAAAAAHHk/7f9twv3qRVM/s1600/612gfs_namer_precip_22.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="400" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-2uZ9HxuOaP8/T9cc1bisVvI/AAAAAAAAHHk/7f9twv3qRVM/s400/612gfs_namer_precip_22.jpg" width="293" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">This map is difficult to see, but a sprawling area of high pressure will extend from Atlantic Canada all the way to Florida for the weekend.</td></tr>
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<br />Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-5699495302670553272012-06-06T08:50:00.002-04:002012-06-06T08:50:38.246-04:006/6/12 Summer to return this weekend. Major heat next week!There is a lot to be said about this past weekends weather. The hows and whys of why it got cold are quite detailed and it is not just one simple answer, in fact it is something in meteorology we call, teleconnections. This means that many small events, all around the globe can react to cause another event. Like the butterfly flapping its wings effect. If any readers wish, I will gladly write a post about what happened. So please respond. Otherwise, lets look ahead, because frankly, you are not planning for last weekend!<br />
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<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-bi5b71I7mD0/T89Ndz3iOZI/AAAAAAAAHE4/D3GCxdHV5QM/s1600/66_map1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="283" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-bi5b71I7mD0/T89Ndz3iOZI/AAAAAAAAHE4/D3GCxdHV5QM/s400/66_map1.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The culprit for the cool, wet weather is still seen on this mornings weather map. An area of low pressure over Atlantic Canada. The flow around this low is bringing very cool air streaming in from the cold waters of the North Atlantic into the Northeast. The Bermuda high has been pushed south. Heat is building in the central plains.</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-0b89PsgK-_U/T89PFTS8IQI/AAAAAAAAHFA/hyI4QyIqRvE/s1600/66_wknd.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="282" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-0b89PsgK-_U/T89PFTS8IQI/AAAAAAAAHFA/hyI4QyIqRvE/s400/66_wknd.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The weekend weather map, shows warmer air building to our west, a warm front will push through on Saturday evening to bring a chance of a shower along with warmer weather for Sunday into Monday. </td></tr>
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Next week looks to be warm, followed by a HOT pattern setting up where highs will possibly get into the 90s.<br />
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<br />Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-33456812032898089362012-05-25T09:50:00.001-04:002012-05-25T09:50:13.934-04:005/25/12 We have a little bit of everything for everybody! Even HEAT!<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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This Memorial Day weekend forecast sounds more like a forecast one would be making for Labor Day. Many features are happening on the weather maps and I hope to convey some of them to you below.<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-gnM39gVmAHE/T7-CSG3ZlpI/AAAAAAAAHB4/-IAv7MEs4oU/s1600/525_image7.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="373" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-gnM39gVmAHE/T7-CSG3ZlpI/AAAAAAAAHB4/-IAv7MEs4oU/s400/525_image7.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">This mornings satellite image shows many of the features that will play in this weekends weather as well as into next week. For New England and Boston the focus will be on a cold front that will push north of us today and the high pressure over the south. A tropical storm is likely forming off the Carolina coast today. Each detailed below.</td></tr>
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<b>1.</b> <b>The cold front</b> - This front will actually push well north of New England into Canada today and on the day Saturday, allowing the area of high pressure to the south to nudge in for Saturday and give us a very warm day. However this cold front sneaks back down from Canada on Saturday night and runs into this large area of high pressure to the south and gets stuck over New England at least until Tuesday. <br />
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<b>2. The Hot High</b> pressure that will bring heat to the south nudges in for one day of warmth on Saturday bringing temperatures into the 80s. However the front eventually comes back through and turns the winds east off the ocean and pushed the hotter air back to the mid Atlantic.<br />
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<b>3. Disturbances</b> will ride along the front to bring the chances for showers each day into Tuesday<br />
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<b>4. A tropical storm</b> is likely to be forming (out of season) off the coast of the Carolinas. The weather pattern can actually be seen in its model track being pushed back south into GA/FL by late this weekend and then eventually up the coastline and out to sea by next week.<br />
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If you would like to see the Atmosphere in motion, click<a href="http://policlimate.com/weather/current/gfs_namer_pwat.html" target="_blank"> HERE</a> and push FWD, very fascinating pattern.. You do not need to be a meteorologist to understand. What you are seeing is the flow of the atmosphere and the pressure (weather systems)<br />
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<br />Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-31347223453924786562012-05-22T09:57:00.002-04:002012-05-22T09:57:31.174-04:005/22/12 RAINachusetts... Yup! More rain. Memorial Day OutlookThanks to my friend Mikey for today's headline! Royalties to come in the mail.<br />
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Today's weather map has some great weather features on it, if you are a meteorologist! Not if you are a fan of sunshine, but have no fear, a big warm up is on the way.<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-HI9q0SNxWK4/T7uI7AHFzBI/AAAAAAAAHAE/HsS_aeTWEt0/s1600/522_latest_eastvis.gif.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="400" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-HI9q0SNxWK4/T7uI7AHFzBI/AAAAAAAAHAE/HsS_aeTWEt0/s400/522_latest_eastvis.gif.jpg" width="288" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">An area of low pressure is slowly tracking up the northeast coast, bringing an east wind to most of NE. This will keep our sky cloudy with scattered showers for most of the day. The former tropical storm Alberto will track well south of New England and eventually become part of the larger overall low pressure with no impact to land areas. A cold front will slowly push east and bring the chance for thunderstorms on Thursday. </td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-GYVh3H-yJOE/T7uKhflbiQI/AAAAAAAAHAM/6oSXx-JpFB4/s1600/522_cref_t3sfc_f11.png.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="400" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-GYVh3H-yJOE/T7uKhflbiQI/AAAAAAAAHAM/6oSXx-JpFB4/s400/522_cref_t3sfc_f11.png.jpg" width="316" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Scattered rain will be with us for most of the day today as bands rotate in around the low over the South Shore</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-noHcE43HFsY/T7uL706VUlI/AAAAAAAAHAU/F6YHXg9JruY/s1600/totp_t3sfc_f18.png.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="400" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-noHcE43HFsY/T7uL706VUlI/AAAAAAAAHAU/F6YHXg9JruY/s400/totp_t3sfc_f18.png.jpg" width="360" /></a></td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-7PKIIB_rE-U/T7uOYYVnGjI/AAAAAAAAHAc/nc1ViOuPFg4/s1600/522_wknsFullscreen+capture+5222012+85515+AM.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="275" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-7PKIIB_rE-U/T7uOYYVnGjI/AAAAAAAAHAc/nc1ViOuPFg4/s320/522_wknsFullscreen+capture+5222012+85515+AM.jpg" width="320" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Weekend weather map... High pressure will build across the South pumping heat into the plains and the Northeast. However, a cold front may be hard to displace. At this time, it is too soon to say whether the Boston area will be in the heat or in the cooler marine air.</td></tr>
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With the above statement made, the weekend here in New England will end up sunny and hot or cool with some scattered showers. As the week progresses, we can evaluate the pattern, right now I will go in the middle and not warm us up and keep a scattered shower possible.<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-3vimWWlVjLQ/T7uXo5N3KwI/AAAAAAAAHAs/FuxtYBThm28/s1600/5day+copy.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="281" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-3vimWWlVjLQ/T7uXo5N3KwI/AAAAAAAAHAs/FuxtYBThm28/s400/5day+copy.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Scattered Showers and Thunderstorms are possible into Thursday. A more humid airmass moves in late Thursday in to the weekend.</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-lUU0J7b7UzY/T7ubF2_844I/AAAAAAAAHA4/0lFk0flZeKM/s1600/MEMDAY.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="273" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-lUU0J7b7UzY/T7ubF2_844I/AAAAAAAAHA4/0lFk0flZeKM/s400/MEMDAY.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">At this point, most areas will see Sunshine, through the weekend. A possible shower is possible on the Cape on Saturday.</td></tr>
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<br />Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-69485571405593619732012-05-16T09:47:00.000-04:002012-05-16T09:48:35.734-04:005/16/12 Summer Thunderstorms Possible todayScattered Severe Thunderstorms are possible today primarily west of Boston in Western and Central MA, NH and northern CT away from the influence of the ocean air. The primary threat today will be hail and strong straight line -bow type winds and heavy rain. As with any severe weather event a tornado cannot be ruled out, but conditions do not favor rotation of storms today.<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-01dSnuKv7yA/T7OsCgkubnI/AAAAAAAAG-s/AAgvd6WzLzQ/s1600/516_cref15min_t3sfc_f0700.png.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="340" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-01dSnuKv7yA/T7OsCgkubnI/AAAAAAAAG-s/AAgvd6WzLzQ/s400/516_cref15min_t3sfc_f0700.png.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">1 PM today, some thunderstorms may develop along the Northshore. </td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-u5l5ou5t5-Q/T7OtU70q39I/AAAAAAAAG-0/iBPFsUHCBD0/s1600/516_GOES13012012137g6MLjn.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="282" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-u5l5ou5t5-Q/T7OtU70q39I/AAAAAAAAG-0/iBPFsUHCBD0/s320/516_GOES13012012137g6MLjn.jpg" width="320" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">A thunderstorm set up today, as the rain will push away from the coast. The factor for how strong the storms across MA will get is when the low clouds break away over New England. With such situation. The sun acts as the energy source to promote thunderstorm growth. The more sun and heating of the day, the stronger the storms can become. Therefore, if the clouds break away along the coastline BEFORE 11-12 today, there is the chance for a pop up, isolated thunderstorm before the main line arrives later this afternoon.</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-4626guEgxOY/T7Oo8ofeHuI/AAAAAAAAG-Y/fpOOR-QeXM8/s1600/516_Rad.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="400" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-4626guEgxOY/T7Oo8ofeHuI/AAAAAAAAG-Y/fpOOR-QeXM8/s400/516_Rad.jpg" width="270" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">A line of thunderstorms will move out of NY into New England around 4-5 PM today. Heavier storms are also possible in Northern Vermont, NH and Maine as well. A sea breeze will likely keep any severe weather limited along the MA coastline, however a pop up thunderstorm is still possible on the Boston area. If you are curious you can view the <a href="http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrrconus15min/jsloop.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_15min:&runTime=2012051610&plotName=cref15min_t3sfc&fcstInc=15&numFcsts=61&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=t3&wjet=1" target="_blank">model run here to see a loop</a> </td><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><br /></td><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"></td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-4dnTn3nh80Y/T7OpWq-rDwI/AAAAAAAAG-g/eC8JjVlM4js/s1600/516_ca3_t3sfc_f13.png.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="400" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-4dnTn3nh80Y/T7OpWq-rDwI/AAAAAAAAG-g/eC8JjVlM4js/s400/516_ca3_t3sfc_f13.png.jpg" width="256" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">An image to show where to expect heavy downpours associated with Thunderstorms. Most of the activity will be in Central and Western MA today. The RED indicates the current time give at 7 PM tonight and the Green indicates a time 90 min prior at 530 PM. Note the BOW echo nearing Worcester. Strong winds could be possible.</td><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><br /></td></tr>
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After today, a great stretch of sunshine and mild temperatures return through early next week with mild days and cooler dry nights.<br />
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<br />Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-28469188648667236262012-05-08T10:51:00.001-04:002012-05-08T10:51:13.707-04:005/8/12 A very unsettled weather pattern remains for MaySomeone told me yesterday, "Why can't the weather be like it was back in March?" Remember the stretch of sunshine and warmth.<br />
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May is looking very cool and wet for New England and the pattern does
not seem to change in the next 2 weeks. With the exception of this
weekend where dry air and some sun will make for a beautiful May
weekend.<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-QCmZmufFAZY/T6ktitWPcnI/AAAAAAAAG8g/qGAlPx5CCBY/s1600/58_image7.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="347" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-QCmZmufFAZY/T6ktitWPcnI/AAAAAAAAG8g/qGAlPx5CCBY/s400/58_image7.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: small;">A main area of low pressure will remain over the Northeast US for much of this week bringing clouds and rain showers into New England. Another area of low pressure over Minnesota (1), will
join with this low and keep the clouds and rain around for Wednesday
into Thursday. And a 2nd low, over Texas, will track across the south
and then up the east coast and bring a chance for heavy rain especially
along Eastern Mass Thursday into Friday morning. High pressure over
Montana will move in later Friday into the weekend to bring sunshine and
gradually warmer temperatures.</span></td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-tlaJLWCqKC4/T6kwf-BHv1I/AAAAAAAAG8s/BfTmYfsLuGg/s1600/58_totp_t3sfc_f15.png.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="400" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-tlaJLWCqKC4/T6kwf-BHv1I/AAAAAAAAG8s/BfTmYfsLuGg/s400/58_totp_t3sfc_f15.png.jpg" width="370" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Rainfall forecast up to 6 PM today. Heavy showers will fall across NH and VT, where eastern MA will see roughly 1/4" and the cape only a light shower. The rain will be around through Friday morning however.</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-ZAg4RPqWp98/T6kxVQy8_AI/AAAAAAAAG80/zjxOiYmuPnU/s1600/58_p120i12.gif.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="400" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-ZAg4RPqWp98/T6kxVQy8_AI/AAAAAAAAG80/zjxOiYmuPnU/s400/58_p120i12.gif.jpg" width="356" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Heavy rain will fall Wednesday into Thursday across Cape Cod where up to 3" of rain could fall total. Boston will likely see up to an inch of rain.</td><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><br /></td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-dhZQ6saSZfU/T6kyr95x_QI/AAAAAAAAG88/GUh0SPD2NPU/s1600/80s_4day_58.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="265" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-dhZQ6saSZfU/T6kyr95x_QI/AAAAAAAAG88/GUh0SPD2NPU/s400/80s_4day_58.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">(had to revert for older graphics for today for time)</td></tr>
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<br />Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-28910459916942647122012-05-06T10:33:00.001-04:002012-05-06T10:33:47.131-04:005/6/12 Lack of posts.. and Wet wet wet...First of all I would like to apologize for the lack of posts this past week. A new job has limited the time to prepare a forecast properly.<br />
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To make a good forecast for this blog, usually takes a minimum of 1 hour and sometimes up to 2 hours PLUS, depending on what is going on. <br />
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So what is going on? Briefly, the pattern that had been persistent from last Fall, through the winter into early April has shifted and we are now in a flow in which the storm track tends to be directly over us, or even to the south of New England. <br />
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It is something I like to refer to as the "roller coaster effect"<br />
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<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-3LDA_Tw6BfQ/T6aHb7JJwDI/AAAAAAAAG7o/Kbh-lnBCrgo/s1600/56_jet.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="315" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-3LDA_Tw6BfQ/T6aHb7JJwDI/AAAAAAAAG7o/Kbh-lnBCrgo/s400/56_jet.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">You can think of the jet stream as a roller coaster track, with the storms going along. New England just happens to be in the dip of the track so everything just pours into the region, the wet and the cool weather. </td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-kixpGDZ-Aik/T6aJo_jrrKI/AAAAAAAAG7w/bc40DuQNx7s/s1600/56_GOES14012012127Kr0DCZ.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="352" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-kixpGDZ-Aik/T6aJo_jrrKI/AAAAAAAAG7w/bc40DuQNx7s/s400/56_GOES14012012127Kr0DCZ.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">A weak front will help usher in some drier air today on Sunday, but with a lot of moisture in the ground from days of rain, the sun will help produce some clouds before there is enough drier air to overtake the moisture. The weak stationary front to the south will be a focus for the storm track later this week as mid week looks wet.</td><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><br /></td></tr>
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<a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-8uG_Ry-Zfls/T6aLvaknHPI/AAAAAAAAG78/kGP2ZavSuvw/s1600/5day+copy.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="281" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-8uG_Ry-Zfls/T6aLvaknHPI/AAAAAAAAG78/kGP2ZavSuvw/s400/5day+copy.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
<br />Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-32977425074103976052012-04-27T08:23:00.000-04:002012-04-27T08:23:10.679-04:004/27/12 Freezing Tonight.. bundle up the plants!<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-veSYRnvE2KY/T5qPaoCHA8I/AAAAAAAAG30/8_Te3_gTeYM/s1600/427_Bostonwkend.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="272" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-veSYRnvE2KY/T5qPaoCHA8I/AAAAAAAAG30/8_Te3_gTeYM/s400/427_Bostonwkend.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
<br />
The remnants of the past weeks Nor'Easter will finally be pushing off the Maine coast today, as a cold area of high pressure takes control over the northeast US.<br />
<br />
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-TMa5_IQZzIY/T5qLRlXFgjI/AAAAAAAAG3c/V5OWLZXeA7U/s1600/427_GOES11312012118DtNgfo.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="300" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-TMa5_IQZzIY/T5qLRlXFgjI/AAAAAAAAG3c/V5OWLZXeA7U/s400/427_GOES11312012118DtNgfo.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The old Nor"Easter which has kept our weather unsettled over the past week will finally be kicked out to sea today, as a cold area of high pressure moves in!</td></tr>
</tbody></table>
With cold high pressure moving in overnight tonight, a <b>FREEZE WARNING</b> has been issued for much of Southern New England, except the immediate Boston area, the Cape, Islands and Providence, where Urban Heating and Ocean temperatures will keep temperatures above freezing.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-gSpdQxjpdp0/T5qMJ_7i6DI/AAAAAAAAG3k/pRsVw5tRvnM/s1600/427_Frz.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="320" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-gSpdQxjpdp0/T5qMJ_7i6DI/AAAAAAAAG3k/pRsVw5tRvnM/s320/427_Frz.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
<pre>* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S.
* TIMING...MIDNIGHT UNTIL 8 AM EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACTS...THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL
INTERESTS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT
TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS
SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD.</pre>
<pre style="font-family: "Helvetica Neue",Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></pre>
<pre style="font-family: "Helvetica Neue",Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: small;">Cool, but sunny conditions will prevail for the weekend, and a gradual warm up is </span></pre>
<pre><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "Helvetica Neue",Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">forecast for next week</span></span> </pre>
<pre>
</pre>
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<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-P9iBzVRkKqU/T5qOUZukWMI/AAAAAAAAG3s/AKnZQck1u-Y/s1600/427_low.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="360" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-P9iBzVRkKqU/T5qOUZukWMI/AAAAAAAAG3s/AKnZQck1u-Y/s400/427_low.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
<pre>
</pre>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-16800855064067575862012-04-24T09:13:00.002-04:002012-04-24T09:13:54.356-04:004/24/12 The Aftermath of a Nor"EasterAn unsettled weather pattern will be with us over the next week. With the passage of the Nor'Easter yesterday, residual clouds and showers will remain for the rest of the week along with some cooler air.<br />
<br />
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-BWAYP8R7yeM/T5akwmv_2bI/AAAAAAAAG2s/72tf8cMd_Mw/s1600/424_GOES12312012115Fk8eyz.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="352" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-BWAYP8R7yeM/T5akwmv_2bI/AAAAAAAAG2s/72tf8cMd_Mw/s400/424_GOES12312012115Fk8eyz.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Our weather pattern can be seen on this mornings satellite image. As the low spins over Ontario, it will take several days to move east and will spin in a mix of sun and clouds over New England. </td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<br />
<br />
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-0NrmcKsRooc/T5ah3fS-UTI/AAAAAAAAG2c/G9_s-3YXPHc/s1600/424_Eastcoast+Map.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="380" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-0NrmcKsRooc/T5ah3fS-UTI/AAAAAAAAG2c/G9_s-3YXPHc/s400/424_Eastcoast+Map.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">A simplified view of the weather for the next week. Warm high pressure will keep the south, Mid Atlantic and Ohio Valley in early Summer warmth, while a small battle zone will set up between New England and the Mid Atlantic and on the north side, cooler weather will prevail as winds come in from Canada. Although it will not be COLD, highs will be normal, near 60 with the chance of passing showers, primarily along the south coast.</td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-DrAAnszl8Ls/T5aiiAxw7VI/AAAAAAAAG2k/XDSLHlqBhRQ/s1600/424_610temp.new.gif.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="400" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-DrAAnszl8Ls/T5aiiAxw7VI/AAAAAAAAG2k/XDSLHlqBhRQ/s400/424_610temp.new.gif.jpg" width="307" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Much above normal temps are seen over the Ohio Valley. The Northeast remains near normal.</td></tr>
</tbody></table>
The week ahead will be tough to forecast when you can expect sunshine and when you can expect a rain shower.<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-G9eQ3SIqS7M/T5am92LXv2I/AAAAAAAAG20/hyJp7iYudTo/s1600/5day+copy.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="281" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-G9eQ3SIqS7M/T5am92LXv2I/AAAAAAAAG20/hyJp7iYudTo/s400/5day+copy.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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<br />Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-68742823532318572252012-04-22T08:42:00.001-04:002012-04-22T08:42:15.515-04:004/22/12 Major Storm to Move Up the Coast.A late season nor'easter in set to cause some problems across the Northeast and into Appalachia overnight tonight and Monday.<br />
<br />
For the Boston area, a cold front will struggle to push through Massachusetts and become stalled through the center of the state. This will be a focusing area as a developing low pressure over the Gulf of Mexico and Florida will move northward bringing heavy rain and winds.<br />
<br />
It will be too warm in much of New England so expect heavy rains, however, further west into New York and PA, cold air will work in as another low over Iowa merges with the Gulf low and will create a damaging late season snowstorm, where over a foot of snow could fall .<br />
<br />
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-QgX0Q8BQx8M/T5PzF6aphBI/AAAAAAAAG1o/28ujCLp3HZU/s1600/422_sat.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="400" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-QgX0Q8BQx8M/T5PzF6aphBI/AAAAAAAAG1o/28ujCLp3HZU/s400/422_sat.jpg" width="261" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Storm is similar in nature and structure to that of the Great Blizzard of 1993, with the exception of cold air in place due to time of year.</td><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><br /></td></tr>
</tbody></table>
Impacts for the Boston Area:<br />
<br />
<ul>
<li>Heavy Rain thru Monday afternoon up to 3-4 inches possible</li>
<li>Flooding of small streams and poor drainage areas likely</li>
<li>River flooding not expected due to dry winter and spring and drought conditions</li>
<li>Strong winds along the coast up to 40 mph</li>
<li>High surf possible. </li>
</ul>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-2mbYdnjGdtc/T5P6a1U0veI/AAAAAAAAG1w/On5R6156gPE/s1600/422_impact.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="378" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-2mbYdnjGdtc/T5P6a1U0veI/AAAAAAAAG1w/On5R6156gPE/s400/422_impact.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-VH4roy9SGc8/T5P8k8OqCUI/AAAAAAAAG2I/IEzfWJNLwUs/s1600/5day+copy.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="281" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-VH4roy9SGc8/T5P8k8OqCUI/AAAAAAAAG2I/IEzfWJNLwUs/s400/5day+copy.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-81362799108252849622012-04-20T08:39:00.000-04:002012-04-20T08:39:07.282-04:004/20/12 Sunny, mild weather can be boring...One of the biggest complaints from the general public about meteorologists is: "They get paid to lie and they are always wrong". Well this week in point, I was wondering, how many of you thought, "The weather was horrible", "Or, those weathermen, all they said was sunshine and warm..(enter favorite curse)". This is what tends to happen, when the weather is good and you have no interferences with any plans whether it be driving, a walk, or running a hot marathon, frankly it does not bother you. It is what follows in my forecast that will then get you upset or make you a bit more weatherwise!<br />
<br />
Enjoy the spring and summer like weather for the next 2 days, by Sunday, a potent Nor'Easter will track up the east coast to bring wind and rain and cooler temperatures into the middle of next week.<br />
<br />
<b>Today </b>- Bright sunshine, southwest wind around 8-15 mph will keep the sea breeze at the immediate coastline. Highs near 80 in the Merrimack Valley, Mid 70s Boston and upper 50s to 60 Cape and Islands.<br />
<br />
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-PHVf1PfxLok/T5FUHHNgVPI/AAAAAAAAGz0/JPNBxdik-J0/s1600/420_hi.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="360" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-PHVf1PfxLok/T5FUHHNgVPI/AAAAAAAAGz0/JPNBxdik-J0/s400/420_hi.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">South facing coastal areas and the cape and Islands will be the coolest including Cape Ann today.</td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<br />
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-3Lrz9lXDXfY/T5FUQfviyuI/AAAAAAAAGz8/5oSPFG_IAIs/s1600/420_image.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="400" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-3Lrz9lXDXfY/T5FUQfviyuI/AAAAAAAAGz8/5oSPFG_IAIs/s400/420_image.jpg" width="361" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">High pressure today will bring in a warming Southwest wind. A cold front and Low over the Gulf will be our weather late on Saturday and into next week. </td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<b><br /></b><br />
<b>On Saturday</b> - a mix of sun and clouds along with some fog will start the day as a cold front approaches but never reaches eastern New England. A south wind will still keep temperatures mild into the 70s. It should remain mostly dry until later afternoon. <br />
<br />
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-wBNKQEFjgco/T5FWbbgnt5I/AAAAAAAAG0M/43c64HQUMzg/s1600/420_satrad.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="400" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-wBNKQEFjgco/T5FWbbgnt5I/AAAAAAAAG0M/43c64HQUMzg/s400/420_satrad.jpg" width="296" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The front is seen stretching from the Gulf of St Lawrence to Georgia and low developing in the Gulf of Mexico on this forecast rain image. </td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<br />
<b>Late Saturday into Monday </b>- The cold front gets hung up over western New England as a major storm develops in the Gulf of Mexico and this storm helps push the front back to the west and will also be a focal point for very heavy rain with 1-3" of rain falling.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-NPOW9yttizU/T5FWUcfQjyI/AAAAAAAAG0E/l9HsR3opx-o/s1600/420_fronts.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="400" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-NPOW9yttizU/T5FWUcfQjyI/AAAAAAAAG0E/l9HsR3opx-o/s400/420_fronts.jpg" width="273" /></a></div>
<br />
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-pP80OyM_K0U/T5FWt2vlH_I/AAAAAAAAG0U/RRNnHEarUik/s1600/420_monrad.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="400" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-pP80OyM_K0U/T5FWt2vlH_I/AAAAAAAAG0U/RRNnHEarUik/s400/420_monrad.jpg" width="288" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">By Monday, the low and the front merge over New England to bring heavy rain and winds over New England on Monday. (A potent snowstorm could set up in the higher elevations of New York and even PA)</td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-XhYQrDNb1CM/T5FYzBOmq6I/AAAAAAAAG0c/KBEGr0JE9v0/s1600/5day.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="281" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-XhYQrDNb1CM/T5FYzBOmq6I/AAAAAAAAG0c/KBEGr0JE9v0/s400/5day.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
<br />Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-4067249414598409392012-04-17T09:26:00.000-04:002012-04-17T09:26:03.126-04:00Subtropical Cyclone could be forming in Atlantic...As mentioned last week, an area of low pressure east of Bermuda is becoming curiously subtropical in looks as it continues to slowly spin westward over the North Atlantic Ocean.<br />
<br />
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-psu86xB4Rk8/T41uVwXe9WI/AAAAAAAAGyg/HDhB9kj1YTU/s1600/417_goes_enam_vvi_.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="400" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-psu86xB4Rk8/T41uVwXe9WI/AAAAAAAAGyg/HDhB9kj1YTU/s400/417_goes_enam_vvi_.jpg" width="322" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The storm would move near Bermuda, then be picked up by a cold front and pushed back out to sea come Thursday.</td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<br />
<br />
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-Qj4z9Nx0D9A/T41tH2i2AZI/AAAAAAAAGyY/85SaE2-10Xw/s1600/417_GOES12152012108yL3QT4.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="300" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-Qj4z9Nx0D9A/T41tH2i2AZI/AAAAAAAAGyY/85SaE2-10Xw/s400/417_GOES12152012108yL3QT4.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">A close up of the swirl of the 999mb storm, if thunderstorms start forming near the center or around the bands of this storm, a subtropical cyclone could form.</td></tr>
</tbody></table>
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<a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-SDQXgBKJ4Co/T41vN8TtX3I/AAAAAAAAGyo/kWU81ST_dY4/s1600/Atlantic.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="246" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-SDQXgBKJ4Co/T41vN8TtX3I/AAAAAAAAGyo/kWU81ST_dY4/s400/Atlantic.gif" width="400" /></a></div>
<br />Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-4055037629814960292012-04-16T08:13:00.004-04:002012-04-16T08:13:58.983-04:004/16/12 A record HOT Patriots Day and Marathon Day!Record heat will invade much of Southern New England (away from the south coasts) today with quite a few areas reaching the lower 90s as a southwest wind brings in the heat.<br />
<br />
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-SK2smlyRFug/T4wGSouI8GI/AAAAAAAAGxE/xtKyD9btFMo/s1600/416_HIa.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="303" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-SK2smlyRFug/T4wGSouI8GI/AAAAAAAAGxE/xtKyD9btFMo/s320/416_HIa.jpg" width="320" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">90s will be seen in the Merrimack Valley of NH and MA today. Elsewhere upper 80s are likely across much of the state. South facing coastal areas and the Cape and Islands will be coolest today. </td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-uqgoA4oex7Y/T4wGBLC3_lI/AAAAAAAAGw8/7xQnBxupKgo/s1600/416_HIa.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><br /></a></div>
Keep in mind the ocean water temperatures are in the mid to upper <b>40s!! </b><br />
<br />
UV readings will also be high today 6-7, which if outside without any sunscreen can produce a sunburn.<br />
<br />
Fire danger is extremely high today, please use extreme caution if bbq'ing, smoking etc. Any spark could ignite a brush fire as the ground is extremely dry and the dry conditions today will help fuel any fires.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-X7zDCDqSZmI/T4wIiZ4f2SI/AAAAAAAAGxM/SItn98UBPhM/s1600/416_Record.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="212" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-X7zDCDqSZmI/T4wIiZ4f2SI/AAAAAAAAGxM/SItn98UBPhM/s320/416_Record.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
<br />
The Marathon will be plagued with hot temperatures. I am sure if you are
running you are aware of what the heat will do. If you are spectating,
keep in mind the high temperatures can also take its toll on you with
dehydration, sunburn and overheating. Please take care.<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-O-vUXgXKOpg/T4wM-AucETI/AAAAAAAAGxs/pDyJOCiN4Pg/s1600/412_family-vacations-boston-marathon.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="283" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-O-vUXgXKOpg/T4wM-AucETI/AAAAAAAAGxs/pDyJOCiN4Pg/s320/412_family-vacations-boston-marathon.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
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<br />
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-CKSC6rLCC4E/T4wIqD_xohI/AAAAAAAAGxU/0vkjfr8gR8A/s1600/416_image7.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="400" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-CKSC6rLCC4E/T4wIqD_xohI/AAAAAAAAGxU/0vkjfr8gR8A/s400/416_image7.jpg" width="323" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The cold front to the west will push through overnight tonight, but move well north of us, so temperatures will only gradually cool over the next few days.</td></tr>
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<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-Xfn8MhKO1ew/T4wMJMOEjOI/AAAAAAAAGxc/jrLQ2qO8zrE/s1600/5day.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="281" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-Xfn8MhKO1ew/T4wMJMOEjOI/AAAAAAAAGxc/jrLQ2qO8zrE/s400/5day.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
<br />Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-75436660995365588902012-04-14T09:03:00.001-04:002012-04-14T09:03:55.449-04:004/14/12 Summer Heat Returns AgainOnce again, a major warm up will be expected across Boston this weekend and on the Patriots Day Holiday on Monday, which does not bode well for Marathon Runners. Expect summer like heat to be in place across much of southern New England until Wednesday.<br />
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For today, Saturday, the last of the cool air will be pushed out and we can expect most areas to rise into the lower 70s.<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/--EpJxOGuslY/T4lwJbGEi_I/AAAAAAAAGvQ/sWyuQ9BCJ4o/s1600/414_hi.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="360" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/--EpJxOGuslY/T4lwJbGEi_I/AAAAAAAAGvQ/sWyuQ9BCJ4o/s400/414_hi.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">A south wind will keep south coastal areas cooler as the wind blows in off of the ocean.</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-ccUKcTTVay8/T4lx-_Q3YNI/AAAAAAAAGvY/FB5Ypj47K40/s1600/412_gfsx_850_3d.gif.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="400" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-ccUKcTTVay8/T4lx-_Q3YNI/AAAAAAAAGvY/FB5Ypj47K40/s400/412_gfsx_850_3d.gif.jpg" width="342" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">The battle between summer and spring will play out along a cold front slowly approaching from the midwest into early next week, but most of the active weather and colder air will get pushed north and a return to normal temperatures return by mid week.</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-N7zGtVsUo0Y/T4l1XlN_8OI/AAAAAAAAGvg/VNp2DKWEkzg/s1600/412_family-vacations-boston-marathon.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="353" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-N7zGtVsUo0Y/T4l1XlN_8OI/AAAAAAAAGvg/VNp2DKWEkzg/s400/412_family-vacations-boston-marathon.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-Lmu5D8fQUBM/T4l1iyRGUSI/AAAAAAAAGvo/2pwQOLAggGc/s1600/5day_Spring-001.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="281" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-Lmu5D8fQUBM/T4l1iyRGUSI/AAAAAAAAGvo/2pwQOLAggGc/s400/5day_Spring-001.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">A chance for an evening Thunderstorm is possible each evening and overnight.</td></tr>
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<br />Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7894869828760474619.post-61031038155212869502012-04-11T20:23:00.001-04:002012-04-11T20:23:13.035-04:00Tropical Update - Possible Alberto to form Next Week, no threat to landA cold front that will push off the US coast will stall over the warm waters of the Atlantic early next week with a wave of low pressure forming along it, roughly 1100 miles east of Florida. This low will sit and could take on tropical or subtropical characteristics, with winds around 55 mph.<br />
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No threat to any land is expected. If it gets above 39 mph, it would be named Alberto. (if it gains enough tropical characteristics, which the models do hint at.)<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-t3PQq6Yh9Qo/T4Yf3dvF9RI/AAAAAAAAGuU/fhArtS6kOFE/s1600/411_subtropWEDsat.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="325" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-t3PQq6Yh9Qo/T4Yf3dvF9RI/AAAAAAAAGuU/fhArtS6kOFE/s400/411_subtropWEDsat.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Model satellite image showing what looks to be a well defined semi-tropical low 1100 miles east of Florida early next week.</td></tr>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-6qOeBYtcD-s/T4Yf1XC__GI/AAAAAAAAGuM/2U1DyGLpwks/s1600/411_subtropWED.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="336" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-6qOeBYtcD-s/T4Yf1XC__GI/AAAAAAAAGuM/2U1DyGLpwks/s400/411_subtropWED.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Model Surface map and precipitation, showing banding features, which is typical of a semi-tropical system.</td></tr>
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In the month of April, two other sub tropical cyclones have formed in 1992 and in 2002.Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13078268088645451497noreply@blogger.com0