10/15/11 A sunny, dry windy weekend! Major storm mid week!

Sunshine and a dry northwest wind will help dry the soggy landscape over the weekend.

A major autumn storm will track up the coast during the day on Wednesday into Thursday bringing heavy rain and strong winds, a classic nor'easter, however temperatures will be way too warm for any snow, except in the highest elevations.

10/14/11 Kinda soggy...

A large upper low pressure system over Ontario and the remnants of the unnamed Florida tropical storm are creating a soggy Friday over New England.

A strong 988mb low over the Great Lakes will usher in windy but drier conditions with seasonable temperatures for the weekend in southern New England.  This low will deepen to around 970mb!

This low with compacted isobars (lines of equal pressure) as seen on the map above will move eastward Friday night bringing the chance of Thunderstorms associated with a cold front that are seen over PA and NY. Once the front passes the wind will shift to the west and northwest creating a very breezy day.

The low has a lot of clouds associated with it. Here in southern New England, we should get into the clearing that is seen over NJ and VA for the day on Saturday and Sunday, while northern VT and NH and Maine will see more clouds.

Saturday and Sunday will be quite windy. Peak winds speeds are shown in MPH, with gusts up to 35 mph expected along the Cape and Islands, 30 mph along the immediate coastline of MA.  A whopping 125 mph atop Mt. Washington in NH and just of note, an intense 60mph wind on Lake Erie, which will likely cause a major seiche! The piling up of water on one end of the lake, as much as 3 feet, almost like a storm surge.

Sun will fade behind clouds again later on Sunday as the back edge of the low moves through.

A coastal storm will threaten Wednesday into Thursday with rain and wind again. Snow in the highest elevations.

10/11/11 A whatchamacallit forecast, high elevation snow next week??

Crazy headline right?  A very interesting weather system hit Florida during the overnight Sunday into Monday morning with hurricane force wind gusts, high seas, coastal flooding, a foot of rain, yet officially it was nothing, meaning not a hurricane or tropical storm (as of yet). A good article was written here about it if you are interested.

This weather system, much weaker now will bring the chance for showers into the forecast for New England as it moves northward late Wednesday into Friday night.

High Pressure over Canada will keep us dry through Wednesday, however the effects of the winds around the high and the storm to the south will create an east wind off the ocean, allowing for cooler conditions than we have seen over the past few days.  The LOW over Saskatchewan will meet with the southern low to produce a period of rain for Thursday into Friday. The storm is a fast mover and will likely be out of the picture by Saturday.

Rain will be heavy over the next few days with up to 3" falling in some areas that do not need any more rainfall.

A look into a future forecast:

An extremely large storm system could possibly move out of Canada next week and produce the first significant Nor'easter for the winter season. Higher elevations in New England and New York could see their first snow falls. A lot can change in a week.

Record High in Boston today!

10/09/11 Record Highs Expected Today

Enjoy the weather today and tomorrow. Record high temperatures are likely across much of the region.

In Boston, the old record is 82 set back in 1942.

Thanks to a large area of high pressure overhead the air will heat up very nicely.

There will be a gradual cool down over the week ahead, when the next weather system, an area of showers developing over the Bahamas this morning will likely track northward. It is uncertain at this point whether this will be a tropical system or just a good ole fashioned storm.

10/06/11 Autumnal Mornings! -Record High Temps by Sunday!

Did you feel it, yes, that is some good autumn crispness in the air. Maybe some of you saw some frost or a freeze, well the threat is even high come overnight into Friday morning as a cool Canadian high sets in. It beats rain tho!

Thursday Morning Lows. Areas away from the coast and the Cape will see temperatures drop to or below Freezing. Urban areas will not see a frost overnight.

This COOL high will warm up significantly over the weekend and allow temperatures to climb back into the 80s by Sunday. Interestingly enough areas in New England will be warmer than those in the Carolina's or even northern Florida!

Weekend weather map, Oranges and yellows are warm, Greens are cooler and the blues are coldest. (Note the Greens and Yellowish Greens into the Carolina's and Florida!)

A cool start with record high temperatures likely on Sunday with highs in the mid to upper 80s with low humidity!

10/04/11 After 13 days, a shift to the better...

On Sept 21, I wrote about a stalled out weather pattern that would set up over the east coast, now 13 days later, this extremely stubborn low that came with reinforcements will move on out of the picture later today.

A band of heavy rain set up over the Northshore this morning, producing flooding and up to 4" of rain. You can click the image below to see it add up.

Radar for Tuesday morning rain noting heavy thunderstorms.

Today's weather will be influenced by the low that is tracking off to the east this morning with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible throughout the day.

The pattern will change from the low over the northeast as seen on this map below.

The low is cut off from the main flow of the jet stream allowing for the same weather to repeat over and over again.

However, by Wednesday and into the weekend, a ridge of high pressure will replace this low and allow for a clear sky and comfortable temperatures, very seasonable for early October.

Same type of map as above, showing the high over the Great Lakes by the weekend. We will be on the east side of the high - indicative of cooler drier air from Canada (follow the small white arrows).

 

 

 

 

A cold air mass will be in place and with clear skies and calm conditions, a widespread frost and a freeze is likely outside of 128/95 Thursday night as temperatures will fall in the lower 30s and upper 20s in many locations.